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Slight Risk of Severe Storms Saturday & Sunday in Iowa

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The weather will turn active over the weekend with multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued slight risks of severe weather in their severe weather outlook for both Saturday and Sunday.

Saturday Severe Weather Outlook

Saturday Severe Weather Outlook for Saturday, September 17th, 2022

Showers and even a few thunderstorms are expected overnight Friday into Saturday morning. Based on the latest model guidance, storms should dissipate and clear out by late morning. This will allow the atmosphere to become unstable by Saturday afternoon. Storms are then expected to redevelop (mainly after 5PM) along a line from Mason City south through southwest Iowa.

Tornado Threat Saturday
Tornado Probability
Iowa severe hail potential
Hail Probability
Iowa damaging wind potential
Wind Probability

Storms that do become severe will pose the risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts. While the tornado threat will be low, there is still the risk for an isolated threat. This threat will need to be monitored Saturday evening. Storms will continue to move to the east overnight Saturday into eastern Iowa and will then clear out of the state by Sunday morning.

12z HRRR Model Run of Simulated radar for Friday night through Saturday night

Sunday Severe Weather Outlook

Severe Weather Outlook for Iowa for Sunday, September 18th, 2022

Storms look to clear out early Sunday morning across the state, with breaks in the clouds expected by Sunday afternoon. Storms then look to develop along the front across the southeastern half of the state by late afternoon Sunday through the evening hours. The greatest risk of severe weather will be across east-central to southeast Iowa. This is where the SPC has a slight risk of severe weather for large hail, with a secondary threat for damaging wind gusts.

Be sure to have the ISCN Weather app installed to receive push notification alerts sent directly to your mobile device. Our app will alert you if dangerous storms are approaching your area, or for any custom locations you set-up through the app.